Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
jzima
Predictions
3149
Comments
121
Member Since
August 2017
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by jzima
How large will the global market for perovskite solar cells be (in millions of dollars) in 2030?
6.87k
10 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?
2028-09-01
113 forecasters
28
26 comments
26
Will the current Ebola outbreak claim more than 1000 lives?
Resolved :
Yes
63%
65 forecasters
4
27 comments
27
Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?
5%
436 forecasters
55
54 comments
54
When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?
2044-12-23
130 forecasters
25
16 comments
16
Will the current Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims 400 lives?
Resolved :
No
7%
66 forecasters
9
11 comments
11
Attempted crewed SpaceX flight prior to 2020?
Resolved :
No
70%
89 forecasters
9
9 comments
9
Will Tesla go private prior to 2020?
Resolved :
No
11%
172 forecasters
13
12 comments
12
Will the latest Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims a hundred lives?
Resolved :
No
25%
75 forecasters
4
18 comments
18
Will Bitcoin's energy consumption remain below 80 TWh/yr in 2018?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
44%
48 forecasters
3
11 comments
11
Load More