Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
datscilly
Predictions
15495
Comments
413
Member Since
August 2017
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by datscilly
Few Sample Statistics and Forecasting GPT-5
14
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the value of C-band spectrum auctioned off by the FCC in Auction 107?
Resolved :
81.1B
92.6B
27 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if they do so before 2026?
Resolved :
No
28%
125 forecasters
19
20 comments
20
Before 30 November 2019, will it be announced that the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) free trade agreement negotiations have concluded?
Resolved :
No
10%
32 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Will the Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Aramco) have an IPO before 30 November 2019?
Resolved :
No
5%
52 forecasters
6
15 comments
15
Before 30 November 2019, will Germany's Bundestag adopt a bill that would impose a fine on parents who refuse a measles vaccine for their children?
Resolved :
Yes
75%
56 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
Will Oman be removed from the EU list of non-cooperative tax jurisdictions between 20 June 2019 and 31 October 2019?
Resolved :
No
3%
43 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania?
Resolved :
No
5%
53 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Will the International Crisis Group report a deteriorated situation for Iran in July 2019?
Resolved :
No
82%
47 forecasters
5
11 comments
11
Between 23 May 2019 and 30 July 2019, will the Spanish monarch appoint a President of the Government?
Resolved :
No
1%
46 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
Load More