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mdickens
Predictions
26
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60
Member Since
November 2017
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Questions by mdickens
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to long term future charities?
Closed
13.8
15 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
2025 Effective Altruism Survey
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?
12.5
15 forecasters
4
no comments
0
2025 Effective Altruism Survey
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to meta charities?
Closed
24.6
16 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
2025 Effective Altruism Survey
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?
22.5
13 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
2025 Effective Altruism Survey
How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?
300M
13 forecasters
5
1 comment
1
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to to global poverty?
Closed
37
22 forecasters
8
3 comments
3
2025 Effective Altruism Survey
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?
31.2
21 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
If the first AGI is developed by a publicly traded company, will the company have performed at least 1.5x as well as the global equities market over the prior 12-2 months?
80%
50 forecasters
4
10 comments
10
In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?
85%
30 forecasters
4
8 comments
8
Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?
32%
39 forecasters
17
8 comments
8
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