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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

1.29AVERAGE PEER SCORE
281TOTAL PREDICTIONS
281QUESTIONS PREDICTED
58QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
226FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
54COMMENTS AUTHORED