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IARPA Question Bot
Predictions
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Comments
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Member Since
March 2018
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Questions by IARPA Question Bot
Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?
Resolved :
No
1%
74 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will there be a significant increase in worldwide search interest in the term “power outage” reported by Google Trends between 24 August 2018 and 7 September 2018?
Resolved :
No
20%
38 forecasters
-5
4 comments
4
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Before 8 September 2018, will any of the remaining signatories to the Iran nuclear deal announce they are withdrawing?
Resolved :
No
1%
103 forecasters
3
6 comments
6
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will there be a heavy fuel oil spill of 1,000 gallons or more in the Arctic between 6 June and 8 September 2018?
Resolved :
No
1%
90 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Ukraine, Russia, Georgia or Armenia between 1 June 2018 and 31 August 2018?
Resolved :
No
1%
86 forecasters
3 comments
3
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will Kim Jong-un meet the head of government from any G7 nation in-person before 15 June 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
96%
145 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will China execute or be targeted in an acknowledged national military attack before 1 September 2018?
Resolved :
No
1%
126 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will Iran announce it is enriching uranium above the 4.0% level before 23 May 2018?
Resolved :
No
2%
21 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will Iran launch a medium, intermediate, or intercontinental range ballistic missile or a satellite between 16 and 23 May 2018?
Resolved :
No
1%
46 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will Ireland's referendum to repeal the Eighth Amendment pass?
Resolved :
Yes
75%
60 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
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