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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.28AVERAGE PEER SCORE
340TOTAL PREDICTIONS
340QUESTIONS PREDICTED
57QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
309FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
41COMMENTS AUTHORED