Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Sylvain
Predictions
4195
Comments
3765
Member Since
June 2018
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Sylvain
Follow, Predict, Withdraw, Find, Predict again
10
13 comments
13
Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next
12
6 comments
6
A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
28
530 comments
530
Change your mind today
6
4 comments
4
Introducing Open Review
26
16 comments
16
New Tournament Scoring: Trade-offs, Decisions
12
11 comments
11
Introducing Simpler, Fairer Tournament Scores
20
12 comments
12
Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
172 forecasters
15
76 comments
76
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Scores and medals: trade-offs and decisions (updated July 2024)
32
86 comments
86
New Scores, New Leaderboard, New Medals🥇🥈🥉
37
107 comments
107
Load More
