M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

6.86AVERAGE PEER SCORE
50TOTAL PREDICTIONS
50QUESTIONS PREDICTED
16QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
152FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
8COMMENTS AUTHORED