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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

14.85AVERAGE PEER SCORE
21TOTAL PREDICTIONS
19QUESTIONS PREDICTED
14QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
67FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
2COMMENTS AUTHORED