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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

2.72AVERAGE PEER SCORE
118TOTAL PREDICTIONS
118QUESTIONS PREDICTED
4QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
265FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
29COMMENTS AUTHORED