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nikos
Predictions
18
Comments
70
Member Since
April 2019
Overview
Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by nikos
Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: How Do Forecasters Fare by Their Own Call?
12
no comments
0
Comparing Two Forecasters in an Ideal World
16
no comments
0
Analysing Individual Contributions to the Metaculus Community Prediction
15
6 comments
6
Wisdom of the Crowd vs. the Best of the Best of the Best
27
9 comments
9
Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Markets
19
6 comments
6
More Is Probably More — Forecasting Accuracy and Number of Forecasters on Metaculus
23
5 comments
5
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks?
December 31
1.11k
December 17
867
December 3
896
2 others
4
9 comments
9
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
Will "Counterfeit Diversity: How Strategically Misrepresenting Gender Diversity Dampens Organizations’ Perceived Sincerity and Elevates Women’s Identity Threat Concerns" (JPSP, 2022) replicate?
Resolved :
13
6.73
18 forecasters
9
2 comments
2
Transparent Replications
Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate?
Resolved :
No
71%
53 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
Transparent Replications
The Keep Virginia Safe Tournament 2021/22: Project Summary
13
no comments
0
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