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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.34AVERAGE PEER SCORE
192TOTAL PREDICTIONS
192QUESTIONS PREDICTED
34QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

4QUESTIONS AUTHORED
283FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
16COMMENTS AUTHORED