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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

7.56AVERAGE PEER SCORE
94TOTAL PREDICTIONS
94QUESTIONS PREDICTED
40QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
80FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
18COMMENTS AUTHORED