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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

4.9AVERAGE PEER SCORE
69TOTAL PREDICTIONS
69QUESTIONS PREDICTED
28QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

5QUESTIONS AUTHORED
251FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
33COMMENTS AUTHORED