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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

12.89AVERAGE PEER SCORE
101TOTAL PREDICTIONS
101QUESTIONS PREDICTED
23QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
5FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
11COMMENTS AUTHORED