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j.m.
Predictions
2086
Comments
408
Member Since
February 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by j.m.
When will high-speed rail connect Los Angeles and Las Vegas?
2031-01-16
5 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?
20%
17 Jul 2033
10%
19 Jun 2030
5%
20 May 2028
6
15 comments
15
When will congestion pricing go into effect in New York City?
Resolved :
Jan 5, 2025
2025-03-21
12 forecasters
4
12 comments
12
When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?
2040-07-01
4 forecasters
2
2 comments
2
When will room-temperature and -pressure superconductivity be achieved?
2051-09-13
67 forecasters
16
12 comments
12
Superconductor Frontiers
When will iPhones in the US have USB-C ports?
Resolved :
Sep 22, 2023
2023-10-01
30 forecasters
15
21 comments
21
How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2022?
Resolved :
57
56.9
29 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
[Short-Fuse] What proportion of last-round votes will Eric Adams get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?
Resolved :
50.4
50.5
43 forecasters
7
24 comments
24
When will zettascale computing be achieved?
2036-11-04
30 forecasters
9
5 comments
5
How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?
Closed
15.8
37 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
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