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Predictions
163
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12
Member Since
March 2020
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Questions by ought
Amplified forecasting: What will Buck's informed prediction of compute used in the largest ML training run before 2030 be?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
12.3
23 forecasters
12
24 comments
24
How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of September?
Resolved :
33.7
32.9
38 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of August?
Resolved :
34
36.9
45 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of July?
Resolved :
33.4
33.9
37 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of June?
Resolved :
31.3
34
27 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of September?
Resolved :
54.1
53.8
51 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of August?
Resolved :
51.1
53.2
51 forecasters
6
7 comments
7
How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of July?
Resolved :
47.6
48.5
44 forecasters
7
2 comments
2
How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of June?
Resolved :
36.7
34.6
36 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
Introducing Elicit
27
10 comments
10
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