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TomL
Predictions
326
Comments
232
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by TomL
condition
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2024?
Resolved :
No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved :
Annulled
1%
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved :
No
1%
3
no comments
0
condition
Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040?
7 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
2042-02-27
Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
2045-04-03
7
no comments
0
What will be the value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in December 2022?
Resolved :
59.7
59.2
21 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Updates on the Beginner Tournament Series
14
14 comments
14
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
What will the price of ETH be on Dec 2, 2022 at noon EST?
Resolved :
1.28k
1.27k
54 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving?
Resolved :
Yes
78%
46 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Haiti
No
El Salvador
No
Nicaragua
No
3 others
8
22 comments
22
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Bangladesh
No
Pakistan
No
Papua New Guinea
No
6 others
9
4 comments
4
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022?
Argentine Peso $
Yes
Russian Ruble ₽
Yes
Egyptian Pound £E
Yes
14 others
17
32 comments
32
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
707k
Haiti
208k
Sri Lanka
172k
4 others
10
6 comments
6
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
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