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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.59AVERAGE PEER SCORE
105TOTAL PREDICTIONS
105QUESTIONS PREDICTED
28QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

21QUESTIONS AUTHORED
2549FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
11NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
39COMMENTS AUTHORED