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ethulin
Predictions
458
Comments
147
Member Since
March 2020
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Questions by ethulin
When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
2023-01-01
32 forecasters
12
15 comments
15
When will New Zealand reopen for quarantine-free international travel?
Resolved :
Jul 31, 2022
2022-10-24
43 forecasters
11
21 comments
21
When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500?
Resolved :
May 20, 2021
2021-05-21
58 forecasters
24
30 comments
30
When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
2021-12-31
74 forecasters
20
49 comments
49
How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?
Resolved :
961k
892k
53 forecasters
6
27 comments
27
How efficacious will the Sputnik V SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be according to the peer reviewed results of the Phase 3 RCT?
Resolved :
91.6
89
21 forecasters
4
11 comments
11
When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be widely available for adults in the United States?
Resolved :
Apr 19, 2021
2021-04-22
135 forecasters
45
59 comments
59
How effective will a second RCT find the most effective regimen of the AstraZenca SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to be?
Resolved :
76
82.5
36 forecasters
11
23 comments
23
When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?
Resolved :
Nov 22, 2021
2022-01-10
247 forecasters
68
124 comments
124
When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :
Apr 18, 2021
2021-03-23
87 forecasters
21
58 comments
58
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