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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

2.35AVERAGE PEER SCORE
421TOTAL PREDICTIONS
421QUESTIONS PREDICTED
61QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

4QUESTIONS AUTHORED
378FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
28COMMENTS AUTHORED