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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

0.02AVERAGE PEER SCORE
232TOTAL PREDICTIONS
232QUESTIONS PREDICTED
57QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

5QUESTIONS AUTHORED
542FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
97COMMENTS AUTHORED