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NunoSempere
Predictions
290
Comments
159
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by NunoSempere
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2031?
20%
17 forecasters
2
no comments
0
Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
40 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Will Dominic Cummings return to a position of direct power and influence in UK before 2050?
Closed
33%
46 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?
69.6%
21 forecasters
1
12 comments
12
Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?
67%
15 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?
51%
18 forecasters
1 comment
1
Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?
Resolved :
No
10%
18 forecasters
2
11 comments
11
Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?
Resolved :
Yes
86%
19 forecasters
3 comments
3
Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?
Closed
97.4
44 forecasters
6
28 comments
28
What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?
7.73
22 forecasters
8
5 comments
5
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