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Natalia_Mendonca
Predictions
1084
Comments
75
Member Since
April 2020
Overview
Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Natalia_Mendonca
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
2031-01-15
19 forecasters
12
2 comments
2
Will Sam Bankman-Fried be the richest person in the world by 2050?
0.1%
145 forecasters
13
19 comments
19
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
When will the 7-day moving average of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases first drop below 10% of a previous peak in the US?
Resolved :
May 23, 2021
2021-06-12
68 forecasters
18
21 comments
21
Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?
92%
138 forecasters
29
9 comments
9
AGI Outcomes