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nor
Predictions
108
Comments
5
Member Since
April 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by nor
What will be the global number of full time programmers working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?
91.5
33.4 this week
16 forecasters
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 Open
What will be the global number of physicians working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?
106
17 forecasters
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 Open
How many units of humanoid robots will be cumulatively sold globally for performing domestic tasks before 2031?
4.7M
17 forecasters
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 Open
How many self-driving cars will be sold globally in the years 2025-2030?
Closed
2.7M
1 forecaster
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 (Day Two)
What will be the global average number of years of schooling in 2030?
Closed
8.68
1 forecaster
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 (Day Two)
How many hours per week will an average OECD worker work in 2030?
Closed
31.3
1 forecaster
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 (Day Two)
What will be the annualized real world GDP growth rate from 2027 to 2030?
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 (Day Two)
What will be the annualized real US GDP growth rate from 2027 to 2030?
Closed
3.5
1 forecaster
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 (Day Two)
How many of the 10 most important advancements in machine learning or artificial intelligence of 2025-2030 will have been discovered by an AI system?
Closed
3.84
19 forecasters
1
6 comments
6
Threshold 2030 Econ Forecasting
What percent of U.S. remote workers will delegate complex (>1hr independent tasks) to AI systems at least 3 times per week in the year 2030?
Closed
84
20 forecasters
2 comments
2
Threshold 2030 Econ Forecasting
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