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InquilineKea
Predictions
179
Comments
33
Member Since
May 2020
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Track Record
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Questions
Questions by InquilineKea
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
63 forecasters
10
8 comments
8
Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?
10k / month
27.8%
30k / month
16%
300k / year
14%
2 others
10
14 comments
14
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?
10%
35 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
Will there be fewer Kea parrots in 2030 than in 2020?
60.8%
35 forecasters
3
5 comments
5