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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

18.45AVERAGE PEER SCORE
178TOTAL PREDICTIONS
178QUESTIONS PREDICTED
36QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
617FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
72COMMENTS AUTHORED