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AvrahamEisenberg
Predictions
2636
Comments
389
Member Since
August 2020
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by AvrahamEisenberg
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
97%
73 forecasters
13
17 comments
17
Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?
Resolved :
No
34%
82 forecasters
12
21 comments
21
Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023?
Resolved :
No
15%
92 forecasters
20
31 comments
31
Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024?
Resolved :
No
17%
104 forecasters
5
13 comments
13
Will anyone make over $1M/year as a solo Substack author before 2024?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
96%
65 forecasters
9
16 comments
16
Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024?
Resolved :
No
1%
112 forecasters
6
11 comments
11
Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?
Resolved :
No
21%
41 forecasters
3
6 comments
6
Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?
Resolved :
Yes
20%
72 forecasters
2
25 comments
25
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
95%
96 forecasters
3
11 comments
11
Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
26%
70 forecasters
9
19 comments
19
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