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yshemesh
Predictions
4
Comments
64
Member Since
September 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by yshemesh
Will polling in the US presidential election miss the true results by 3 percentage points or more?
Resolved :
No
40%
119 forecasters
17
52 comments
52
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will Democrats win a majority in the senate in the 2020 elections?
Resolved :
No
68%
150 forecasters
21
69 comments
69
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
62%
142 forecasters
5
93 comments
93
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will there be at least 10 fatalites caused in post-election political violence in the United States?
Resolved :
No
36%
147 forecasters
17
67 comments
67
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Before December 25th, 2020, will cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the United States exceed 12 million?
Resolved :
Yes
80%
134 forecasters
10
35 comments
35
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile between November 3rd 2020 and March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
25%
118 forecasters
4
25 comments
25
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
On 1 January 2021, will the rate of new confirmed deaths per million from COVID-19 in Sweden be higher than Denmark?
Resolved :
Yes
56%
115 forecasters
6
54 comments
54
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
On January 1st, 2021, will Americans' opposition to Black Lives Matter be higher than 40%?
Resolved :
No
35%
159 forecasters
11
26 comments
26
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
By January 2021, will Consumer Confidence in the United States return to optimism?
Resolved :
No
22%
112 forecasters
7
35 comments
35
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will the S&P 500 close higher in 2020 than 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
70%
152 forecasters
13
45 comments
45
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
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