Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Joker
Predictions
5761
Comments
2443
Member Since
October 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Joker
Will the Arizona Coyotes rejoin the NHL by 2029?
23%
6 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
Will the following NBA players make the Hall of Fame?
Jayson Tatum
99%
Victor Wembanyama
97%
Kyle Lowry
88%
9 others
2
8 comments
8
[Short Fuse] Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
Resolved :
Yes
48%
20 forecasters
3
10 comments
10
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
15%
26 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?
United States
93%
China
73%
Any EU country
69.1%
2 others
5
6 comments
6
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
23%
16 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
Will the following cities receive an NBA expansion franchise before 2030?
Las Vegas
82%
Seattle
70%
Kansas City
9%
10 others
3
11 comments
11
Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?
18%
61 forecasters
6
28 comments
28
Load More