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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

-6.42AVERAGE PEER SCORE
292TOTAL PREDICTIONS
292QUESTIONS PREDICTED
125QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
76FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
72COMMENTS AUTHORED