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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

12.57AVERAGE PEER SCORE
247TOTAL PREDICTIONS
247QUESTIONS PREDICTED
25QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

4QUESTIONS AUTHORED
2837FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
16COMMENTS AUTHORED