🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Learn more, and share your feedback and questions here

adamr

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve

Score Scatter Plot

Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

-0.34AVERAGE PEER SCORE

9TOTAL PREDICTIONS

9QUESTIONS PREDICTED

4QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED

406FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS

0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED

4COMMENTS AUTHORED