M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

-14.97AVERAGE PEER SCORE
407TOTAL PREDICTIONS
407QUESTIONS PREDICTED
39QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
30FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
15COMMENTS AUTHORED