M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

6.36AVERAGE PEER SCORE
66TOTAL PREDICTIONS
66QUESTIONS PREDICTED
21QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
45FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
4COMMENTS AUTHORED