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H559
Predictions
20363
Comments
906
Member Since
June 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by H559
Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?
14.7%
22 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
Libya
3 Feb 2029
South Sudan
Aug 8, 2023
Myanmar
15 Feb 2028
3 others
8
10 comments
10
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
2025-07-14
971 forecasters
69
120 comments
120
Effective Institutions Project
What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2024?
Resolved :
1.66M
1.92M
16 forecasters
2
12 comments
12
Animal Welfare Series
AI Safety ∩ AI/DL Research
10
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?
2057-02-01
17 forecasters
7
1 comment
1
What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?
12.6k
27 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parent(s) for doing so?
2050-09-13
15 forecasters
10
25 comments
25
Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?
52%
31 forecasters
13
4 comments
4
Will any jurisdiction adopt futarchy by 2070?
12%
35 forecasters
18
13 comments
13
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