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stanulamstan
Predictions
4808
Comments
2006
Member Since
June 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by stanulamstan
Will Sweden join NATO before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
167 forecasters
16
30 comments
30
Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?
49.5%
10 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
Will Israel have a national election for Knesset in 2023?
Resolved :
No
0.3%
100 forecasters
6
27 comments
27
Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?
47%
23 forecasters
-5
20 comments
20
Will Saudi Arabia and Iran restore diplomatic relations by 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
80%
38 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
168 forecasters
18
79 comments
79
Will the Israeli Labor Party run alone?
Resolved :
Yes
53%
26 forecasters
5
25 comments
25
Will Bill Maher vote for a Republican President by 2042?
51%
31 forecasters
3
13 comments
13
Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?
20%
15 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously?
Resolved :
Yes
50%
28 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
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