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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

0.75AVERAGE PEER SCORE
238TOTAL PREDICTIONS
238QUESTIONS PREDICTED
85QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
122FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
1NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
6COMMENTS AUTHORED