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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

8.58AVERAGE PEER SCORE
16TOTAL PREDICTIONS
16QUESTIONS PREDICTED
2QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

5QUESTIONS AUTHORED
30FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
5COMMENTS AUTHORED