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Tom_Metaculus
Predictions
3658
Comments
398
Member Since
November 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Tom_Metaculus
Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 63.0% on any single day in February or March 2025?
Closed
55%
21 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will William Ruto cease to be President of Kenya before April 1, 2025?
Closed
10%
21 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before April 1, 2025?
Closed
15%
20 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on March 31, 2025?
Closed
53%
17 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on February 28, 2025?
Closed
54%
24 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on January 30, 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
60%
23 forecasters
75 comments
75
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will the S&P 500 index go up in January 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
70.8%
22 forecasters
74 comments
74
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of April 2025?
Closed
80%
21 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
[PRACTICE] How many pounds of chicken per capita will the US consume in 2025?
Closed
103
17 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
[PRACTICE] How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?
90 seconds to midnight (unchanged)
47.83%
80 to 89
16.83%
91 to 100
10.93%
4 others
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
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