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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

4.27AVERAGE PEER SCORE
156TOTAL PREDICTIONS
156QUESTIONS PREDICTED
72QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
108FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
7COMMENTS AUTHORED