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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.83AVERAGE PEER SCORE
185TOTAL PREDICTIONS
185QUESTIONS PREDICTED
133QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
225FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
1COMMENTS AUTHORED