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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.56AVERAGE PEER SCORE
272TOTAL PREDICTIONS
272QUESTIONS PREDICTED
87QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

12QUESTIONS AUTHORED
1065FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
16COMMENTS AUTHORED