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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

6.73AVERAGE PEER SCORE
343TOTAL PREDICTIONS
343QUESTIONS PREDICTED
41QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
8FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
11COMMENTS AUTHORED