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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Learn more, and share your feedback and questions here

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

16.37AVERAGE PEER SCORE
246TOTAL PREDICTIONS
246QUESTIONS PREDICTED
47QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
70FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
3COMMENTS AUTHORED