Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
CivilMarigold
Predictions
815
Comments
32
Member Since
May 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by CivilMarigold
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
2025-10-22
21 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
When will Oleksii Reznikov cease to hold the office of the Minister of Defence of Ukraine?
Resolved :
Sep 5, 2023
2023-09-08
13 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
93 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
2026-03-04
82 forecasters
18
23 comments
23
Verity