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Wombat
Predictions
342
Comments
52
Member Since
May 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Wombat
When will AI independently prescribe the majority of medication in the U.S.?
2044-12-06
23 forecasters
6
2 comments
2
AI Demonstrations
How many Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031?
13
9 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
What will be the annual US unemployment rate in 2027?
6.16
14 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
Closed
5%
302 forecasters
43
35 comments
35
Biosecurity Tournament
When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?
2028-03-15
24 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
46%
75 forecasters
11
14 comments
14
Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?
33%
81 forecasters
11
22 comments
22
Verity
Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?
75%
56 forecasters
19
22 comments
22
AI Safety