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AlexL
Predictions
160
Comments
60
Member Since
July 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by AlexL
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Simferopol on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
72 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Forecasting Our World in Data 2023-2-9 Update
5
5 comments
5
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?
Resolved :
No
0.4%
129 forecasters
15
44 comments
44
What will be the percentage change of international trade in goods volume between OECD Member countries and the People's Republic of China in 2029 compared to 2019, adjusted for inflation?
Closed
4.85
10 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
The Climate Tipping Points Tournament
16
1 comment
1
Climate Tipping Points
Stage 2 of the ACX 2023 Prediction Contest!
11
14 comments
14
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?
0.5%
194 forecasters
13
22 comments
22
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the total number of nationalities to have visited the moon by 2030?
2.2
105 forecasters
10
13 comments
13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
2.75
88 forecasters
8
6 comments
6
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?
2035
20.3
2030
3.98
2025
2.09
6
8 comments
8
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
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