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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

1.36AVERAGE PEER SCORE
65TOTAL PREDICTIONS
65QUESTIONS PREDICTED
25QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
176FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
8COMMENTS AUTHORED