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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

7.79AVERAGE PEER SCORE
160TOTAL PREDICTIONS
160QUESTIONS PREDICTED
30QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

17QUESTIONS AUTHORED
1822FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
175COMMENTS AUTHORED